if he carries new hampshire, colorado, virginia, and turns just one other state, wisconsin, or turns a combination of iowa and nevada. jenna: so larry, one of the things you went on to say in your crystal ball, the president has still more plausible routes to winning the election but romney doesn't need a huge transformation to get there. i think you just talked a little bit about that. what are you watching for next? aswer getting so close now to election day, what are the keys to really watch for now? >> i think you always look at ohio. our favorite swing state, other than of course my native state of virginia. i have to give them preference. jenna: of course, right. >> but ohio, we've said all year long, jenna, ohio has been right 27 of the last 29 times. no republican has been elected without ohio. if ohio gets really, really close and romney is moving up, that to me is an immediate sign.